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New England Coalition for Sustainable Population
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planet." Richard Heinberg, author of PEAK EVERYTHING
1. As population increases, so do anthropogenic emissions.
Since the first Earth Day in 1970, global population and annual
carbon dioxide emissions have both increased by about 70
percent. As a result, global per capita emission rates remain
steady at about 1.2 metric tons of carbon per person per year.
2. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change posits a
90% likelihood that anthropogenic emissions are causing
climate change. As reported by the New York Times in April
2007: "...the report said that assessing the causes of regional
climate and biological changes was particularly difficult, [though]
the authors concluded with “high confidence” — about an 8 in
10 chance — that human-caused warming “over the last three
decades has had a discernible influence on many physical and
biological systems.”
3. In New England winters are warming, and overall winter
temperatures in the Northeast are 4.4 degrees higher than they
were 30 years ago, endangering both the flora and fauna of
New England , providing an incubator for invasive species to
dominate, perpetuating the migration and spread of infectious
disease, disrupting natural life-support systems that threaten
NEs ecology.
4. The average person in the United States, including New
England residents, emits 5.5 metric tons of carbon per year --
more than 4 metric tons above the world average.
5. More people mean more resources are being used. 83% of
the global terrestrial biosphere is under direct human influence,
and about 36% of the Earth's bioproductive surface is "entirely
dominated by" humans.
6. The European Environment Agency estimates that within 50
years, the total consumption of natural resources by the world
population is projected to be between double and five times
what it is now.
7. Peak oil theory seems to be unfolding -- in 2006, for
example, the world oil production took a downturn from 84.631
to 84.597 million barrels per day -- although population has
continued to increase. This has caused the oil production per
capita to drop to 4.73 barrels per year. In 1980 per capita oil
production was 5.26 per year.
8. While the world's population tripled in the 20th century, the
use of renewable water resources has grown six-fold.[10]
According to the IPCC 4th assessment release for 2007, over
one billion people did not have access to safe, clean drinking
water.
9. Total amount of world grain production is not keeping up with
world demand – the 2007/2008 season marked the seventh
year out of the past eight in which global grain production has
fallen short of demand. This consistent shortfall has cut global
supplies in half -- down from a 115-day supply in 1999/2000 to
the current level of 53 days.
10. Demand for petroleum products, food and durable goods
will likely continue to increase as the world population
increases, leading to higher prices which will become un-
affordable for many. For instance, the Food and Agricultural
Organization of the United Nations reports the GlobalFood
Price Index rose 54% in one year from April 2007 to April 2008.
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